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More Long TIPS
I am extending from Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index ETF (VTIP) to PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS ETF (LTPZ) and iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP). The trades: Sell 70 VTIP at $49.34 Buy 25 LTPZ at $47.09 Buy 25 TIP at $105.40 The updated model portfolio:
19 hours ago1 min read


More Short TIPS
Yesterday, a day ahead of the FOMC meeting, I added to ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats (REGL) and sold some Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index ETF (VTIP). Today, I am trimming REGL slightly, and also reducing PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS ETF (LTPZ), which gapped up today but is cheap and adding to VTIP. The trades: Sell 25 LTPZ at $47.34 Sell 10 REGL at $90.84 Buy 40 VTIP at $49.52 The updated model portfolio:
3 days ago1 min read


Doing the Same Trade Again
I did this yesterday, and I am doing it again at a better price, remaining very underweight stocks and very overweight TIPS. I am reducing Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index ETF (VTIP) and adding to ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats (REGL) again. The trades: Sell 75 VTIP at $49.49 Buy 45 REGL at $90.52 The updated model portfolio:
4 days ago1 min read


Selling More TIPS
I wrote about how cheap TIPS are this weekend, saying that they are not working. Why, then, am I selling? Well, I am reducing the very short-dated ones, which are a surrogate for cash, and I still own a lot. I am reducing Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index ETF (VTIP) and adding to ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats (REGL) again. The trades: Sell 50 VTIP at $49.54 Buy 25 REGL at $91.07 The updated model portfolio:
5 days ago1 min read


TIPS Aren't Working Despite Inflation
Stocks fell this week and bonds slipped again. Last week, I discussed how semiconductor ETFs are down a lot in Q3. They rallied this short week but are still down quarter-to-date. A Look at the Market The S&P 500 has returned 12.7% with dividends included, and the price is up 12.1% for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) in 2026 so far. This leaves the market on track to post a return for the full year right at under 19%. At the same time, iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) has decl
Sep 115 min read


Reducing Equity Exposure
This week and last, I reduced TIPS (VTIP) and added to the two equity ETFs. I am reducing exposure to ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats (REGL), which is down slightly, and adding exposure to iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP). The trades: Sell 25 REGL at $90.96 Buy 20 TIP at $105.83 The updated model portfolio:
Sep 111 min read


Another Buy
Earlier today, I added to ProShares Russell 2000 Dividend Aristocrates ETF (SMDV) and trimmed Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Index ETF (VTIP) again to fund it. I am doing it again. The trades: Sell 50 VTIP at $49.67 Buy 30 SMDV at $74.91 The updated model portfolio:
Sep 101 min read


Now Buying This ETF
Yesterday, I boosted REGL, but today I am adding to ProShares Russell 2000 Dividend Aristocrates ETF (SMDV) and trimming Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Index ETF (VTIP) again to fund it. The trades: Sell 50 VTIP at $49.66 Buy 40 SMDV at $75.00 The updated model portfolio:
Sep 101 min read


Doing This Trade for the 3rd Time
I did this trade earlier today as well as late last week, but I am open to it again at a better price. I remain very underweight equities in the model portfolio. I am adding to ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats (REGL) and reducing Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index ETF (VTIP). The trades: Sell 50 VTIP at $49.72 Buy 25 REGL at $91.29 The updated model portfolio:
Sep 91 min read


Semiconductor ETFs Are Falling
Stocks advanced marginally and bonds slipped this week. Last week, I discussed how "sell in May and go away" is not really working out just yet. A Look at the Market The S&P 500 has returned 13.5% with dividends included, and the price is up 12.9% for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) in 2026 so far. This leaves the market on track to post a return for the full year right at 20%. At the same time, iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) has declined in price in 2026. With dividends inc
Sep 44 min read


And More Equity ETFs
It's up today, but ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats (REGL) has dropped a lot over thepast few weeks and I am adding to it. I am funding it with another reduction of Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index ETF (VTIP). The trades: Sell 50 VTIP at $49.69 (changed to correct from 48.69) Buy 30 REGL at $92.70 The updated model portfolio:
Sep 21 min read


More Equity Yet Again
Buy the dip is not really my idea of the way to play, but I am adding to ProShares Russell 2000 Dividend Aristocrates ETF (SMDV) and trimming Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Index ETF (VTIP) to fund it. The trades: Sell 50 VTIP at $48.69 Buy 30 SMDV at $75.35 The updated model portfolio:
Sep 11 min read


August ETF Review
August was a positive month for stocks, which ended higher as measured by the S&P 500, and bonds, which rose modestly. Stocks are up in 2026, aiming for a 20% return for large-caps and better for smaller ones. During July, I decided to stop writing at Seeking Alpha, as I explained in writing. Not to worry! I am still writing a lot, and I am working on finding a new spot. The Market July was a rough month, and August was better. The S&P 500 has returned 13.1% with dividends in
Aug 311 min read


More Equity Again
Last week, I boosted equity exposure in my model portfolio, and I am doing it again today. The exposure is still very low. The sale this time will be some Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index ETF (VTIP), and I will boost the recently trimmed ProShares S&P 400 Mid-Cap 400 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (REGL), which did fill a gap today that was below the trading level. The trades: Sell 25 VTIP at $49.66 Buy 20 REGL at $93.01 The updated model portfolio:
Aug 311 min read


Seasonal Stock Selling Is Not Working
Stocks and bonds advanced this week, though they both pulled back on Friday. Last week, I discussed the big rally in Bitcoin (and IBIT). A Look at the Market The S&P 500 has returned 13.4% with dividends included, and the price is up 12.8% for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) in 2026 so far. This leaves the market on track to post a return for the full year right at 20%. At the same time, iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) has declined in price in 2026. With dividends included, t
Aug 296 min read


Trimming Again (and Boosting Too)
I reduced it yesterday, and I am trimming it again today at a higher price. I will still hold a very large position in ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (REGL). I am boosting one that I trimmed, PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS ETF (LTPZ). The trades: Sell 10 REGL at $94.59 Buy 25 LTPZ at $48.44 The updated model portfolio:
Aug 261 min read


Mid-Cap to Small-Cap Trade
Year-to-date, ProShares Russell 2000 Dividend Growers ETF (SMDV) is ahead of the ProShares S&P 400 Mid-Cap 400 Dividend Aristocrates ETF (REGL), but small-caps are beating mid-caps by more. Here is a look at the action since late 2022: In Q3 so far, REGL has advanced 2.6%, while SMDV has declined by 0.3%. I am swapping some REGL for some SMDV. The trades: Sell 50 REGL at $93.91 Buy 75 SMDV at $76.81 The updated model portfolio:
Aug 251 min read


More Equity
I like TIPS a lot and fear equities are going lower, but I am trimming PIMCO 15+Year US TIPS Index ETF (LTPZ) and adding again to ProShares Russell 2000 Dividend Growers ETF (SMDV). The trades: Sell 25 LTPZ at $48.49 Buy 25 SMDV at $76.76 The updated model portfolio:
Aug 251 min read


More TIPS
I have a lot of TIPS, but I am buying more as inflation concerns pick up. I am exiting Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Index ETF (VGSH) and boosting shorter-duration TIPS VTIP and also iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP). The trades: Sell all (150 shares) VGSH at $58.13 Buy 50 VTIP at $49.79 Buy 50 TIP at $107.36 The updated model portfolio:
Aug 241 min read


Bitcoin Bummer
The news was quite interesting this week, as Treasury Secretary Bessent boosted bond repurchases, sparking a rally for a day in Treasuries. The market fell this week for stocks. Last week, I discussed why I am not that interested in Fidelity ETFs. A Look at the Market The S&P 500 has returned 12.9% with dividends included, and the price is up 12.3% for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) in 2026 so far. This leaves the market on track to post a return for the full year below 20%. At the s
Aug 226 min read
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